empty
07.07.2023 02:24 PM
US premarket on July 7: Stock market awaits Non-Farm Employment Change report

Futures on US stock indexes declined as investors prepare for another round of US employment data, which will allow them to assess whether policymakers will support the interest rate hike program in the future or start speculating about reaching their peak value. In any case, even a slight slowdown and cooling of the labor market will not affect the July decision of the Federal Reserve when borrowing costs are likely to be raised.

Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes declined by approximately 0.2% and 0.3% respectively after yesterday's significant drop caused by stronger-than-expected private hiring data from ADP.

This image is no longer relevant

As mentioned before, traders are currently betting that the Federal Reserve will continue on the path of increasing borrowing, especially after yesterday's data from the ADP research institute, which showed that American companies added about half a million jobs in June of this year. Today's reports on non-farm employment and unemployment in the US will be a key factor in revising rate hike expectations.

One thing can be said for sure: considering yesterday's movements, the price already incorporates the risk of a stronger labor market. If the data align with economists' forecasts or, worse, turn out to be below expectations, the stock market will surely demonstrate growth as demand for risky assets returns. How long it will last is another question.

Treasury bond yields have already risen in Friday's trading, with the two-year yield, sensitive to policy changes, reaching around 5%, while the yield on 10-year bonds fluctuated near its highest level since March of this year.

Although July is usually a good month for the stock market, things are not shaping up well for risk asset traders. The aggressiveness of central banks from the US to the UK undermines hopes for a soft landing of the global economy. Tech stocks were among the hottest trades this spring, driven by the buzz around artificial intelligence, but now many economists claim that investors who have invested in this sector risk being caught off guard by a sell-off triggered by further interest rate hikes.

This image is no longer relevant

If the excitement surrounding AI continues, the bubble will continue to inflate. A good earnings season, starting early next week may support a rally in technology companies.

As for the S&P 500 index, demand for the index has slightly decreased. Bulls have a chance to continue the uptrend, but they need to settle the price above $4,427 and $4,447. From this level, there may be a surge toward $4,469. Bulls should control $4,488, which will strengthen the bull market. If the index declines due to decreased risk appetite, bulls will have to protect $4,405. A break below this level may push the trading instrument back to $4,382 and $4,357.

Jakub Novak,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Mercado acionário dos EUA: Tarifas de Trump interrompem tendência de alta, e investidores aguardam dados do PCE

Mercado de ações dos EUA: As tarifas de Trump interrompem a tendência de alta, de modo que os índices acionários de referência estão se consolidando. Dados de PCE no radar

Jozef Kovach 16:44 2025-03-28 UTC+2

Mercado de ações em 28 de março: S&P 500 e NASDAQ em uma posição difícil

Ao final da sessão regular de ontem, os principais índices acionários dos Estados Unidos encerraram em baixa. O S&P 500 recuou 0,33%, o Nasdaq 100 caiu 0,53%

Jakub Novak 15:07 2025-03-28 UTC+2

O mercado dos EUA cai com as tarifas de Trump, que corroem a confiança nas perspectivas econômicas

S&P 500 Visão geral para 27 de março O mercado dos EUA caiu devido a novos temores de tarifas e incerteza econômica. Principais índices dos EUA na quarta-feira: Dow: -0,3%

Jozef Kovach 17:21 2025-03-27 UTC+2

Mercado de ações em 27 de março: S&P 500 e NASDAQ despencaram após as últimas tarifas de Trump

No fechamento da sessão regular de terça-feira, os índices acionários dos E.U.A. terminaram em território negativo. O S&P 500 caiu 1,12%, enquanto o Nasdaq 100 caiu 2,24%. O Dow Jones

Jakub Novak 16:56 2025-03-27 UTC+2

O mercado acionário dos EUA está apresentando um crescimento modesto

S&P500 Atualização do mercado de ações em 26 de março Instantâneo dos índices de ações dos EUA na terça-feira: * Dow +0%, NASDAQ +0,5%, * S&P 500 +0,2%, * S&P

Jozef Kovach 16:46 2025-03-26 UTC+2

Atualização do mercado de ações para 26 de março: S&P 500 e NASDAQ continuam a se recuperar gradualmente

No fechamento da sessão regular de ontem, os índices acionários dos Estados Unidos encerraram em território positivo. O S&P 500 subiu 0,16%, enquanto o Nasdaq 100 avançou 0,46%

Jakub Novak 14:35 2025-03-26 UTC+2

O mercado de ações dos EUA ganha novo impulso de alta. Os investidores percebem o sinal de que a correção para baixo acabou

S&P500 Atualização do mercado em 25 de março Instantâneo do mercado acionário dos EUA na segunda-feira: Dow +1.4%, NASDAQ +2.3%, S&P 500 +1.8%, S&P 500 negociado a 5,767em uma faixa

Jozef Kovach 15:49 2025-03-25 UTC+2

Mercado acionário dos EUA em 24 de março: S&P 500 e Nasdaq ganham força com as notícias sobre tarifas

Hoje, os futuros de ações dos EUA e da Europa estão sendo negociados em alta em meio a sinais de que a próxima rodada de tarifas do Presidente Donald Trump

Jakub Novak 17:13 2025-03-24 UTC+2

O mercado dos EUA tenta se recuperar. Perspectivas de um ataque dos EUA ao Irã sustentam os preços do petróleo

S&P 500 Visão geral para 24 de março O mercado dos EUA está tentando se recuperar. Principais índices dos EUA na sexta-feira: - Dow: +0,1% - NASDAQ: +0,5% - S&P

Jozef Kovach 16:50 2025-03-24 UTC+2

S&P 500: Da Euforia à Queda

A onda de otimismo que tomou conta dos mercados de ações dos EUA após a reeleição de Donald Trump teve vida curta. A euforia rapidamente deu lugar a uma profunda

Anna Zotova 15:41 2025-03-24 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.